This module provides incremental statistical folds based upon the foldl library
An incremental statsitical fold can be thought of as exponentially-weighting statistics designed to be efficient computations over a Foldable.
Some throat clearing is required, however.
The common usage term "exponential moving ..." refers to the cumulative effect of the fold referencing the original data. From the point of view of a single step, the algorithm could be better described as "constant proportion" or "geometric" decay. Many other methods are also possible and future versions of the library may introduce some more.
A main point of the library is that the traditional simple moving average uses a sliding window of past data and thus requires keeping track of the last n elements in State (in a LIFO queue most likey). It may be simple for the human brain but its a more complex and costly computational than this single-pass version.
For clarity, moving average (and moving whatever) below refers to geometric decay rather than the common usage. So with the throat clearing out of the way:
To avoid clashes, Control.Foldl should be qualified.
import qualified Control.Foldl as L
The folds represent incremental statistics such as moving averages`.
The stream of moving averages with a
rate of 0.1 is:
L.scan (incMa 0.1) [1.. 10]
or if you just want the moving average at the end.
L.fold (incMa 0.1) [1..10]
Incrementalize takes a function and turns it into a
Fold where the step is an Increment iso to the typical step in an exponential moving average calculation.
is a moving average of a foldable
is a moving average of the square of a foldable
This lets you build an exponential standard deviation computation (using Foldl) as
std r = (\s ss -> sqrt (ss - s**2)) <$> incrementalize id r <*> incrementalize (*2) r
The rate is the parameter regulating the discount of current state and the introduction of the current value.
incrementalize id 1
tracks the sum/average of an entire Foldable.
incrementalize id 0
produces the latest value (ie current state is discounted (or decays) to zero)
A exponential moving average with a duration of 10 (the average lag of the values effecting the calculation) is
incrementalize id (1/10)